The inescapable fact is that we do not know what is in the other person’s mind. We find out various things about social groupings when they are called upon to vote.
David Cameron may have thought it was worth the risk to have a referendum on leaving the EU. Did his advisers predict the wrong outcome?
What factors may have influenced voting trends? Age was definitely a factor. The young do not want to distance themselves from Europe and are not anticipating the freedom of negotiating trade deals and setting new tariffs.
Why did the Welsh vote in favour of unburdening themselves from the shackles of the EU when the Scots and Northern Irish did not? Xenophobia played its part. Scapegoats were needed for economic misery. Scroungers, illegal immigrants and open borders for EU citizens were sold to a naive voting population.
Britain’s empire guaranteed a home for people in its colonies. Asian and Afro Carribean people have long been contributors to the UK’s wealth. Poles and other EU Now, these European neighbours have to prove their settled status to carry on living in the UK.
It is hardly surprising that 3 years after the referendum result, parliament in the UK refuses to accept the terms of any of the deals presented to it.
Jeremy Corbyn will not pick a side but continues to thwart Boris Johnson’s ambition to leave the EU no matter what, deal or no deal.
A general election on 12 December will probably not change the balance of power. Labour may win by a slim majority, the Tories may ask the DUP to swing it for them again, the Brexit party might take some of the votes from the three main parties. and the Lib Dems will probably gain some seats.
None of that will ease a bill through the Commons that enables us to leave the EU smoothly.
odespinner 